05 May 2007

Mulder?

"Have you ever searched for life on this planet?" - Scully

"I've seen life on this planet, that's why I'm looking elsewhere." - Mulder

Landslide?

One poll has Sarkozy ahead of Royal 55% to 45%. If that is how things go tomorrow that result would be - at least in terms of traditional left v. right contests in French Presidential elections (that is, throwing out 2002) - a landslide.

What's my prediction?

Sarkozy 54% - Royal 46%

What Will Sarkozy Likely Do?

First, many apologies to Royal, but I don't expect her to win tomorrow. If she does turn out to be the victorious party, well, kudos for her.

Second, a caveat. Much of what he will be able to do will depend on the outcome of parliamentary elections in June. If his party does not control the parliament following those elections (if France has a period of political "cohabitation"), he'll have to deal will a legislative body hostile to many of his proposals.

So what's on Sarkozy's agenda? What is he ready to serve up?

Economy: Tax cuts and labor market reform will be a theme of his administration. Sarkozy likely isn't a secret libertarian at heart but he will be (IMHO) the most pro-market President France has elected during the Fifth Republic (when French Presidents really started to matter in the French political scheme).

Foreign Policy: I expect to see generally warm relations with the U.S. from his administration. I also think that he's generally in favor of the E.U. I don't expect to see him involve French forces in Iraq.

03 May 2007

Paris

The Roman Emporer Julian called Paris "Cara Lutetia" - "Beloved Lutetia." Back then the Roman name for the place was Lutetia.

02 May 2007

Leo Strauss

What the heck is the deal with trying to jam Leo Strauss into some neo-conservative framework? To me that is a very problematic association at best (at least as I understand neo-conservatism). Needless to say it bugs the heck out of me.

Test Post

Testing...

30 April 2007

Debate

Tonight (in a little less than seven hours as of this positing) Sarkozy and Royal will debate the issues. It is the only debate of the second round. Here's a preview. Maybe we'll see some fireworks.

Edit: For some reason this post has been published under the date 30/04/07. It was actually published 2/5/07.